Najmi vs Leon - Najmi via submission - too many submission attacks that will overwhelm Leon. Seeing Leon get immediately heel hooked in his first Kasai Grand Prix awhile ago has always stuck in my mind. Fortunately, he's not facing a seasoned leg locker, but Najmi's ability to pull out the submission from transitions will catch Leon.
Romulo vs Tinoco - will look like a boring IBJJF Black belt NoGi match with Romulu sitting to guard likely, and Tinoco unable to pass/disengage/reset boredom via decision.
Grand Prix - this really depends on who is in what pool of competitor. There are some easy potential leg lock victims for Craig Jones, I expect Duarta to dive on some toe holds after him catching Gaudio at the Pans in the Gi. Pena with his ADCC title will hopefully come with something to prove, my picks are for the finals are largely dependent on how the pool is split.
Jackson is gonna get leg locked again. Johnson will ankle lock someone who's not good enough to even push the foot on off the hip as preliminary defense, but will look futile against Jones or Pena who have enough leg lock defense and savvy to watch Johnson try the ankle lock he has success with against much smaller guys or guys who don't know how to defend. Blank is gonna be undersized for this format but will hit at least one submission because he pulls them out in transition from places you might not expect from a guy his size, but will be tough as he's facing some guys who cut to make 205. Leon also will look undersized as he just won the King of the Mats 185 but will be facing guys who cut to make 205. Pena and Craig are picks for the finals and hoping for that, the matchmakers will place them in different pools to set up a potential fireworks final for the event.
I also expect some boring match as TBH some of the guys from the IBJJF background will eat a non-win rather than risk getting submitted. Rustam Chisev also has the ability to eat a non-win and cause some boring AF matches while he does a Palhares and parks it on both knees and posts on his downed opponents head and doesn't allow anything to get going.
John Potts must sell tickets because he's on this card despite losing everytime I see him have a match at Rise Invitational or Kasai.
Friend of mine and teammate, Bergamo will face former opponent of mine from the Rise Invitational I did, Rey De Leon of 10th Planet. Interested to see this play out as I've trained with Bergamo and competed against Rey.
Stanley Rosa will pick up a submission win.
Pierre LeClerc will pick up a submission win after a scramble/transition-based match.
Another undercard match I'm excited to see that should produce solid transitions and submission attempts is Carlos Rosado vs Chase Patrick, having been on cards with and/or seen both of them compete previously.
Romulo vs Tinoco - will look like a boring IBJJF Black belt NoGi match with Romulu sitting to guard likely, and Tinoco unable to pass/disengage/reset boredom via decision.
Grand Prix - this really depends on who is in what pool of competitor. There are some easy potential leg lock victims for Craig Jones, I expect Duarta to dive on some toe holds after him catching Gaudio at the Pans in the Gi. Pena with his ADCC title will hopefully come with something to prove, my picks are for the finals are largely dependent on how the pool is split.
Jackson is gonna get leg locked again. Johnson will ankle lock someone who's not good enough to even push the foot on off the hip as preliminary defense, but will look futile against Jones or Pena who have enough leg lock defense and savvy to watch Johnson try the ankle lock he has success with against much smaller guys or guys who don't know how to defend. Blank is gonna be undersized for this format but will hit at least one submission because he pulls them out in transition from places you might not expect from a guy his size, but will be tough as he's facing some guys who cut to make 205. Leon also will look undersized as he just won the King of the Mats 185 but will be facing guys who cut to make 205. Pena and Craig are picks for the finals and hoping for that, the matchmakers will place them in different pools to set up a potential fireworks final for the event.
I also expect some boring match as TBH some of the guys from the IBJJF background will eat a non-win rather than risk getting submitted. Rustam Chisev also has the ability to eat a non-win and cause some boring AF matches while he does a Palhares and parks it on both knees and posts on his downed opponents head and doesn't allow anything to get going.
John Potts must sell tickets because he's on this card despite losing everytime I see him have a match at Rise Invitational or Kasai.
Friend of mine and teammate, Bergamo will face former opponent of mine from the Rise Invitational I did, Rey De Leon of 10th Planet. Interested to see this play out as I've trained with Bergamo and competed against Rey.
Stanley Rosa will pick up a submission win.
Pierre LeClerc will pick up a submission win after a scramble/transition-based match.
Another undercard match I'm excited to see that should produce solid transitions and submission attempts is Carlos Rosado vs Chase Patrick, having been on cards with and/or seen both of them compete previously.
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