Gaethje to weather the storm and get the TKO win in the 4th round. That being said, the advent of leg kicks + knees based on the Alvarez stoppage of Gaethje are concerning (Alvarez used a frequent body punch attack that slowed Gaethje down and then the knee later for the finish). Gaethje has hesitated exactly zero percent since his UFC signing in fighting the other action/dangerous fighters on the roster. In fact, I think few guys in recent memory have taken anywhere near the UFC import road that he has other than perhaps David Branch.
Anyway, I wouldn't bet my own money on this fight as the leg kicks plus knees are exactly what I would want in my arsenal other than a sustained body punching attack to put the kabosh on a guy like Gaethje. That being said, Gaethje I feel slightly more confident making it to the 4th round of a war than Barboza. Though, Barboza survived three rounds with Khabib which is saying more than most guys can say.
The not confident pick is Gaethje by 4th round stoppage
MacDonald vs Emmett
MacDonald has fought a ton of the best at both 145 and 155. His hand speed here I think will put him ahead of Emmett for much of the fight and if MacDonald fires that 1-2 then moves the way he can, this will be a 1 or 2 round fight.
MacDonald by 1st round stoppage as Emmett takes the wrong fight from which to come back from a year long layoff.
Branch vs Hermannson
Branch by TKO after clipping Hermannson in the 2nd round.
Kowalkiewicz vs Waterson
Waterson via more diverse set of skills in a 3rd round stoppage by submission.
Paul Craig vs some guy
Paul Craig by submission because I've seen him fight more times than the other guy.
Pearson vs Green
Pearson by split decisions after which he retires after a longer UFC career than anyone would've predicted.
Holland vs Meerschaert
Meerschaert via submission in the 2nd round after an entertaining scrap.
Borg vs Kenney
Cursed Borg wins by submission in the 2nd round.
Anyway, I wouldn't bet my own money on this fight as the leg kicks plus knees are exactly what I would want in my arsenal other than a sustained body punching attack to put the kabosh on a guy like Gaethje. That being said, Gaethje I feel slightly more confident making it to the 4th round of a war than Barboza. Though, Barboza survived three rounds with Khabib which is saying more than most guys can say.
The not confident pick is Gaethje by 4th round stoppage
MacDonald vs Emmett
MacDonald has fought a ton of the best at both 145 and 155. His hand speed here I think will put him ahead of Emmett for much of the fight and if MacDonald fires that 1-2 then moves the way he can, this will be a 1 or 2 round fight.
MacDonald by 1st round stoppage as Emmett takes the wrong fight from which to come back from a year long layoff.
Branch vs Hermannson
Branch by TKO after clipping Hermannson in the 2nd round.
Kowalkiewicz vs Waterson
Waterson via more diverse set of skills in a 3rd round stoppage by submission.
Paul Craig vs some guy
Paul Craig by submission because I've seen him fight more times than the other guy.
Pearson vs Green
Pearson by split decisions after which he retires after a longer UFC career than anyone would've predicted.
Holland vs Meerschaert
Meerschaert via submission in the 2nd round after an entertaining scrap.
Borg vs Kenney
Cursed Borg wins by submission in the 2nd round.
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